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83
46
forecasters
7
83 comments
46 forecasters
Elections
2 more...
How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"?
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4.03
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4
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4
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result:
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2027-2028
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85%
chance
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60%
"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will be below 0% for the 2028 election
40%
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43 forecasters
Donald Trump primary voting factor in 2026 midterms?
99.9%
chance
0 comments
135 forecasters
What will be US' Democracy Index for 2026?
Current estimate
7.51
5 comments
50 forecasters
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
59.9%
Republican Party
40%
Other
0.1%
75 comments
183 forecasters
Trump in power beyond 2028?
2.5%
chance
0 comments
103 forecasters
Losing US presidential candidate not conceding in these elections?
2021-2022
Annulled
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
Annulled
2027-2028
42%