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83 comments
46 forecasters

How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"?

community
4.03
result
4
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
TNTOutburst
Opened:Oct 5, 2023
Closes:Nov 5, 2024
Resolved:Nov 6, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 7, 2023
Elections
Politics
🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard
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How today’s Democratic soul-searching echoes the Clinton era
CNN•Oct 5, 2025
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Will both Kalshi and Polymarket assign >20% odds to the major-party nomination of an already twice-elected former U.S. president in the following years?

2021-2022
No
2023-2024
No
2025-2026
7%
1 other
43 forecasters

Will "Change in Average Inflation Rate" correctly predict the popular vote winner in the 2028 US presidential election?

"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will correctly predict the 2028 Popular Vote Winner
60%
"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will be below 0% for the 2028 election
40%
3 forecasters

What will be the Economist Democracy Index for the United States for 2026?

7.31
(6.97 - 7.6)
7.31
(6.97 - 7.6)
98 forecasters
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