Question

Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?

Resolved:Yes

3 comments3

Total Forecasters56

Community Prediction

57%

(55% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 57%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

11.4

Community Baseline Score

27.4

Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

Mar 21, 2016

Closes:

Jul 1, 2016

Resolves:

Dec 20, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 21, 2016

Technology

Space

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Will a mission to land a spacecraft on Europa launch by 2030?

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

17%

Will NASA land people on Mars prior to 2030?

0.1%

Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

Mar 21, 2016

Closes:

Jul 1, 2016

Resolves:

Dec 20, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 21, 2016

Technology

Space

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Will a mission to land a spacecraft on Europa launch by 2030?

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

17%

Will NASA land people on Mars prior to 2030?

0.1%