Make a Prediction
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) | Ukrainian territory lost in 2029? |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: — | |
| My Prediction: — |
The question "Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Donald Trump)" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?" resolves.
Authors:
Opened:Sep 29, 2023
Closed:Nov 7, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Feb 24, 2029
Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?
99% chance
106
If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?
47% chance
112
Will Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028?
14% chance
35
Authors:
Opened:Sep 29, 2023
Closed:Nov 7, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Feb 24, 2029
Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?
99% chance
106
If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?
47% chance
112
Will Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028?
14% chance
35