1 comment
21 forecasters
When will conscripted Ukrainians be able to demobilize?
Current estimate
12 May 2026
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 6, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 8, 2023
Will Ukraine start revoking passports of military draft age men residing abroad before 2026?
1% chance
65
When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?
16 Sep 2026
(27 Nov 2025 - >28 May 2027)
16 Sep 2026
(27 Nov 2025 - >28 May 2027)
87 forecasters
Will Ukraine reduce the minimum age for compulsory military service before 2026?
10% chance
50