Question
When will conscripted Ukrainians be able to demobilize?
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction
14 Nov 2025
(26 Apr 2025 - 19 Sep 2026)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 26 Apr 2025 | — |
| median | 14 Nov 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | 19 Sep 2026 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Jan 2030 | 1.5% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Oct 6, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 8, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Oct 6, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 8, 2023