5 forecasters

[Short Fuse] How many Democrats will vote to retain Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House?

0result: Yes

2result: No

1result: No

0

2

1

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 3, 2023

Closes:

Oct 3, 2023

Resolved:

Oct 3, 2023

2023 Leaderboard

Schumer warns of a shutdown if Republicans don’t accept Democrats’ health care demands

Associated Press•Sep 12, 2025

How the House could force a vote on releasing all the Epstein files — even if no more Republicans join

Independent•Sep 12, 2025

The 1600: American Tragedy

Newsweek•Sep 10, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch