Question
When will the successor to Kevin McCarthy be elected as Speaker of the United States House of Representatives?
Resolved :25 Oct 2023Total Forecasters92
Community Prediction
31 Oct 2023
(25 Oct 2023 - 14 Nov 2023)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 25 Oct 2023 | — |
median | 31 Oct 2023 | — |
upper 75% | 14 Nov 2023 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>170130240000% | 14.6% | — |
What was the final result?25 Oct 2023
Community Baseline Score
15.9
Community Peer Score
35.2
Authors:
Opened:Oct 5, 2023
Closes:Oct 18, 2023
Resolves:Oct 25, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 5, 2023
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 5, 2023
Closes:Oct 18, 2023
Resolves:Oct 25, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 5, 2023