Question

When will the successor to Kevin McCarthy be elected as Speaker of the United States House of Representatives?

Resolved:25 Oct 2023 12:55
Total Forecasters92
Community Prediction
31 Oct 2023 19:56
(25 Oct 2023 07:37 - 14 Nov 2023)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%25 Oct 2023 07:37
median31 Oct 2023 19:56
upper 75%14 Nov 2023
Upper bound
>30 Nov 202314.6%

What was the final result?25 Oct 2023 12:55

Community Baseline Score
15.9
Community Peer Score
35.2
Opened:Oct 5, 2023
Closes:Oct 18, 2023
Resolves:Oct 25, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 5, 2023