US Government Shutdown Before 2024?

conditional

condition

Next US Speaker of the House? (Steve Scalise (R))

Resolved:No

5 forecasters

if yes

if no

US Government Shutdown Before 2024?

43%

Resolved:Annulled

US Government Shutdown Before 2024?

65%

Resolved:No

1 comment1

Make a Prediction

Next US Speaker of the House? (Steve Scalise (R))	US Government Shutdown Before 2024?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 65%

What was the final result? No

Community Peer Score

16.1

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Oct 3, 2023

Closes:

Nov 15, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Politics

2023 Leaderboard

Will there be a US government shutdown before the 2028 presidential election?

45%

Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?

16%

Which party will control the US Congress following the 2026 midterm elections?

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Oct 3, 2023

Closes:

Nov 15, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Politics

2023 Leaderboard

Will there be a US government shutdown before the 2028 presidential election?

45%

Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?

16%