Question
What will be the closing price of Crude Oil (in USD per barrel) on December 30, 2023?
Resolved:71.65Total Forecasters86
Community Prediction
73.2
(70.5 - 76.8)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<50 | 1.1% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 70.46 | — |
median | 73.22 | — |
upper 75% | 76.8 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>135 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?71.65
Community Baseline Score
43.5
Community Peer Score
44.2
Authors:
Opened:Oct 19, 2023
Closes:Dec 29, 2023
Resolves:Jan 3, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 22, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on the following dates?
455M
What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years?
3.5
Will the United States import any crude oil from Russia between 2025 and 2030?
65%
Authors:
Opened:Oct 19, 2023
Closes:Dec 29, 2023
Resolves:Jan 3, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 22, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on the following dates?
455M
What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years?
3.5
Will the United States import any crude oil from Russia between 2025 and 2030?
65%