82 forecasters

Before 2024, will the US government state that Iran likely helped Hamas plan the October 7 attack on Israel?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 10, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolved:

Jan 23, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 11, 2023

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