Question

Before 2024, will the US government state that Iran likely helped Hamas plan the October 7 attack on Israel?

Resolved:No
8
2
Total Forecasters82
Community Prediction
1%
(0.3% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score
15.1
Community Baseline Score
54.5
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:Oct 10, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 23, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 11, 2023
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Geopolitics
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