Question

Will Hong Kong Chief Executive John Lee be invited to the APEC summit in November 2023?

Resolved:Yes

5 comments5

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction

25%

(20% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-26.1

Community Peer Score

0.2

Authors:

bohaska

Opened:

Oct 27, 2023

Closes:

Nov 15, 2023

Resolves:

Nov 15, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 29, 2023

Geopolitics

2023 Leaderboard

Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?

39%

Will the United States recognize Taiwan before January 20, 2029?

12%

Will Xi Jinping continue leading China in 2030?

62%

Authors:

bohaska

Opened:

Oct 27, 2023

Closes:

Nov 15, 2023

Resolves:

Nov 15, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 29, 2023

Geopolitics

2023 Leaderboard

Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?

39%

Will the United States recognize Taiwan before January 20, 2029?

12%

Will Xi Jinping continue leading China in 2030?

62%