33 comments
129 forecasters
Will there be 400 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2024?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 13, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolved:Jan 9, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 13, 2023
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2% chance
139
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9.1% chance
79