129 forecasters

Will there be 400 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2024?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 13, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolved:

Jan 9, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 13, 2023

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