M

Question

Will there be 400 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2024?

Resolved :No1%
Total Forecasters129
Community Prediction1% (0.8% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
40.3
Community Peer Score
30.0
median 1.0%mean 5.2%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
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Closes:
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