Question

When will congestion pricing go into effect in New York City?

Resolved:05 Jan 2025 05:00

12 comments12

Total Forecasters12

Community Prediction

21 Mar 2025

(10 Jan 2025 14:44 - 14 Jul 2026)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>31 Dec 2029
community	10 Jan 2025 14:44	21 Mar 2025	14 Jul 2026	3.9%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	10 Jan 2025 14:44	—
median	21 Mar 2025	—
upper 75%	14 Jul 2026	—
Upper bound
>31 Dec 2029	3.9%	—

What was the final result?05 Jan 2025 05:00

Community Peer Score

1.7

Community Baseline Score

10.7

Authors:

j.m.

Opened:

Feb 3, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 6, 2024

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Politics

When will the US implement a national carbon tax or carbon pricing mechanism?

Jun 2033

Will a city with a population of over 1 million people publicly credit the use of high-resolution satellite imagery in reducing traffic congestion in a specific area before 2031?

44.3%

When will a carbon price be paid on 50% or more of the world's carbon emissions?

Jun 2036

Authors:

j.m.

Opened:

Feb 3, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 6, 2024

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Politics

When will the US implement a national carbon tax or carbon pricing mechanism?

Jun 2033

Will a city with a population of over 1 million people publicly credit the use of high-resolution satellite imagery in reducing traffic congestion in a specific area before 2031?

44.3%

When will a carbon price be paid on 50% or more of the world's carbon emissions?

Jun 2036