31 forecasters

Will there be an 8.0 magnitude or greater earthquake in the Pacific Northwest before 2034?

25%chance

Forecast Timeline

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Authors:

Opened:

Nov 3, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 13, 2034

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 6, 2023

Natural Sciences

Earthquakes rattle the Pacific Northwest on fault line overdue for the 'Big One'

Daily Mail•Sep 10, 2025

Multiple earthquakes strike off Oregon coast with the strongest reaching nearly 6 magnitude

Daily Mail•Sep 9, 2025

Strong Earthquake Strikes Off Oregon Coast

Newsweek•Sep 9, 2025

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