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5
140
forecasters
13
5 comments
140 forecasters
Conditional Cup
5 more...
condition
Israel Deadly Attack on Iran Before 2024?
Resolved:
No
140 forecasters
if yes
if no
US Iran War Before 2025?
15%
15%
Resolved:
Annulled
US Iran War Before 2025?
2%
2%
Resolved:
No
Follow
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if Yes
15%
1 more
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Non-Test Nuclear Detonation in Iran Before 2027?
1.5%
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US controls Tehran in war with Iran
3.3%
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4%
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16%
chance
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Iranian Nuclear Weapons before 2041
32%
chance
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Will the US Senate pass an Iran war powers resolution before August 1, 2026?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 5 days
%
chance
8 comments
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Trump Declare War on Iran before 2029?
30%
chance