Question
Will Israel launch a large-scale ground offensive into Gaza before November 1, 2023?
Resolved:YesTotal Forecasters155
Community Prediction
85%
(80% - 95%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Peer Score
9.7
Community Baseline Score
20.1
Authors:
Opened:Oct 20, 2023
Closes:Oct 31, 2023
Resolves:Oct 31, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 21, 2023
Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?
5%
Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?
10%
Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?
10%
Authors:
Opened:Oct 20, 2023
Closes:Oct 31, 2023
Resolves:Oct 31, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 21, 2023
Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?
5%
Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?
10%
Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?
10%