Question

Will Labor win the seat of Sturt in the next Australian Federal Election?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction
20%
(12% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 20%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-95.1
Community Peer Score
1.2
Opened:Dec 30, 2023
Closes:May 17, 2025
Resolves:May 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 2, 2024