215 forecasters

Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?

80%chance

80%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 80% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 25, 2016

Closes:

Jul 23, 2018

Resolved:

Jul 31, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 26, 2016

Natural Sciences

Health & Pandemics

2016-2020 Leaderboard

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