Question

Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?

Resolved:Yes

27 comments27

Total Forecasters215

Community Prediction

80%

(65% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

33.3

Community Baseline Score

41.3

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Mar 25, 2016

Closes:

Jul 23, 2018

Resolves:

Jul 31, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 26, 2016

Natural Sciences

Politics

Health & Pandemics

2016-2020 Leaderboard

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