12 comments
12 forecasters
When will a large language model with a context window of at least 5 million tokens be freely accessible to anyone?
Current estimate
30 Jan 2026
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
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Opened:Oct 30, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 2, 2023