Question

Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters402
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
98.9
Community Peer Score
1.3
Authors:
Opened:Oct 26, 2023
Closes:Oct 7, 2024
Resolves:Oct 7, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 29, 2023