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1
28
forecasters
5
1 comment
28 forecasters
Conditional Cup
3 more...
condition
LLM passes ARA before 2025?
Resolved:
No
28 forecasters
if yes
if no
LLM training paused for dangerous capability?
3%
3%
Resolved:
Annulled
LLM training paused for dangerous capability?
1%
1%
Resolved:
No
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Forecast Timeline
if Yes
3%
1 more
1d
1w
2m
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LLM training paused for dangerous capability? (OpenAI)