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8
95
forecasters
5
8 comments
95 forecasters
Conditional Cup
3 more...
condition
Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot?
Resolved:
No
95 forecasters
if yes
if no
2024 Republican Presidential Nominee?
98%
98%
Resolved:
Annulled
2024 Republican Presidential Nominee?
99%
99%
Resolved:
Yes
Follow
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embed
if Yes
98%
if No
(Yes)
1d
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Comments (8)
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94 forecasters
Nominee blocked from US statewide office ballot by opposition in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
5%
2027-2028
10%
15 comments
247 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?
JD Vance
46.1%
Ron DeSantis
4.6%
Marco Rubio
18.3%
Other
25.2%
4 others
7 comments
43 forecasters
Donald Trump primary voting factor in 2026 midterms?
99.9%
chance
2 comments
32 forecasters
Trump ban states from using mail-in ballots for 2026 midterms?
5%
chance
75 comments
183 forecasters
Trump in power beyond 2028?
2.5%
chance
11 comments
240 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?
Gavin Newsom
25.9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.4%
Pete Buttigieg
7.2%
Other
44.1%
4 others
5 comments
50 forecasters
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
59.9%
Republican Party
40%
Other
0.1%
13 comments
103 forecasters
Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?
20%
chance