2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump)

condition

Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot?

Resolved:No

95 forecasters

if yes

if no

2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump)

98%

Resolved:Annulled

2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump)

99%

Resolved:Yes

8 8 comments

95 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot?	2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump)
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 99%

What was the final result? Yes

Community Peer Score

19.6

Community Baseline Score

94.4

if Yes

if No

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Sep 12, 2023

Closes:

Jul 14, 2024

Resolved:

Jul 16, 2024

Conditional Cup

Elections

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Will an opposing-party authority block or remove a major-party nominee for statewide office from the U.S. general-election ballot in the following years?

Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?

183 forecasters

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

3% chance

168

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Sep 12, 2023

Closes:

Jul 14, 2024

Resolved:

Jul 16, 2024

Conditional Cup

Elections

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Will an opposing-party authority block or remove a major-party nominee for statewide office from the U.S. general-election ballot in the following years?

Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?

183 forecasters

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

3% chance

168