62 forecasters

Before 2024, how many hostages will be freed who were captured in the October 7 Hamas attack?

Released by captorresult: 109

Rescued or escapedresult: 4

Released by captor

Rescued or escaped

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 28, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolved:

Jan 3, 2024

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Israel-Gaza Conflict

2023 Leaderboard

Israel strike on Doha ‘killed any hope’ of hostage release deal in Gaza: Qatar

New York Post•Sep 12, 2025

Netanyahu ‘killed any hope’ of hostage release with strike on Doha, Qatar’s prime minister says

PBS NewsHour•Sep 11, 2025

Qatar official says Netanyahu ‘killed any hope’ of hostage release with its strike in Doha on Hamas

Associated Press•Sep 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch