Question

When will Artemis 3 successfully take astronauts to the Lunar Gateway?

Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction
23 Sep 2028
(12 Oct 2027 - 31 Mar 2030)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%12 Oct 2027
median23 Sep 2028
upper 75%31 Mar 2030
Upper bound
>Jan 203117.3%
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Opened:Nov 9, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 12, 2023