Question

What will be the Shiller P/E Ratio of the S&P 500 on January 1, 2030?

Total Forecasters3
Community Prediction
28.2
(26.3 - 34)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<10.2%
Quartiles
lower 25%26.31
median28.2
upper 75%34.02
Upper bound
>600.5%
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 4, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 7, 2023