347 forecasters

Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025?

Contestedresult: Yes

Israelresult: No

International Governmentresult: No

Contested

Israel

International Government

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 4, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 24, 2025

Israel-Gaza Conflict

🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard

Deadly power struggle begins in Gaza with dozens killed in clashes as Hamas scrambles to fight off clans and retain control of the strip

Daily Mail•Oct 13, 2025

Hamas asserts control in Gaza and targets alleged collaborators as ceasefire takes hold

CNN•Oct 12, 2025

Palestinians are returning home – the challenges they now face are immense

Independent•Oct 12, 2025

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