409 forecasters

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

3%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Nov 2, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 3, 2023

2021-2025 Leaderboard

NATO could spark all-out war with Russia if it shoots down drones over Ukraine, Moscow warns as Europe bolsters its borders amid invasion fears

Daily Mail•Sep 15, 2025

Ukraine Launches Drone Barrage on Russian Oil Refinery

Newsweek•Sep 14, 2025

Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events, day 1,297

Al Jazeera•Sep 13, 2025

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