Question
If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?
Total Forecasters19
Community Prediction
12 Sep 2029
(10 Aug 2027 - 17 Nov 2029)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 10 Aug 2027 | — |
| median | 12 Sep 2029 | — |
| upper 75% | 17 Nov 2029 | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 11, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 14, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Nov 11, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 14, 2023