19 forecasters

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

Current estimate

01 Oct 2029

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Authors:

Opened:

Nov 11, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 14, 2023

Trump’s former adviser turned critic John Bolton expected to be criminally charged as early as next week: report

Independent•Oct 11, 2025

Trump critic and former national security adviser John Bolton to be charged soon, sources say

NBC•Oct 11, 2025

What to know about the Letitia James case and what happens next

CNN•Oct 11, 2025

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Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

When will the D.C. federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (election subversion case)

(>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)

(>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)

When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case)

(>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)

(>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)