156 forecasters

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026?

92.5%chance

92.5%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 93% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Doryphore AlyssaStevens RyanBeck

Opened:

Nov 17, 2023

Closes:

Dec 30, 2025

Resolved:

Nov 21, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 20, 2023

Israel-Gaza Conflict

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Early this morning the IDF (Israel Defense Force) invaded Gaza city with thousands of troops

OpEdNews•Sep 17, 2025

Independent Probe for UN Says Israel Commits Genocide

Consortium News•Sep 16, 2025

UN commission of inquiry accuses Israel of genocide in Gaza and urges global action

PBS NewsHour•Sep 16, 2025

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