Question

Will China be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2025?

29 comments29

Total Forecasters103

Community Prediction

93%

(80% - 95%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 93%

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

TimeTraveller34

Opened:

Feb 25, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 28, 2024

Technology

Artificial Intelligence

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Chinese tech firms gaining fast on Silicon Valley in AI race: report

New York Post•Jul 3, 2025

Robotics will have a ChatGPT moment in the next 2 or 3 years, says Vinod Khosla

Business Insider•Jul 2, 2025

Berkeley launches a lightweight open-source humanoid robot

FOX News•Jul 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?

Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?

99.5%

When will a humanoid robot be created that the general public judges as indistinguishable from humans?

Aug 2047