Question

When will the next volcanic eruption on the Reykjanes Peninsula in Iceland begin?

Resolved:Annulled
Total Forecasters1
Community Prediction
03 Jul 2024
(29 May 2024 - 15 Aug 2024)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%29 May 2024
median03 Jul 2024
upper 75%15 Aug 2024
Upper bound
>15 Dec 20242.0%

What was the final result?Annulled

Authors:
Opened:Nov 14, 2023
Closes:Dec 15, 2023
Resolves:Dec 15, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 18, 2023