Question
When will the next volcanic eruption on the Reykjanes Peninsula in Iceland begin?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters54
Community Prediction
>15 Dec 2023 00:00
(>15 Dec 2023 00:00 - >15 Dec 2023 00:00)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | >15 Dec 2023 00:00 | — |
| median | >15 Dec 2023 00:00 | — |
| upper 75% | >15 Dec 2023 00:00 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >15 Dec 2023 00:00 | 98.1% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
127.2
Community Peer Score
31.3
Authors:
Opened:Nov 15, 2023
Closes:Dec 15, 2023
Resolves:Dec 16, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 18, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Nov 15, 2023
Closes:Dec 15, 2023
Resolves:Dec 16, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 18, 2023
