2 comments
49 forecasters
Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
0.1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 17, 2023
Closes:Nov 4, 2024
Resolved:Jan 21, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 20, 2023