🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

What percent of US adults will report having received an updated COVID booster vaccine for the 2023-2024 season on the following dates?

6
43
23 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Dateresolution

PDF

CDF

<5
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>70
0.1%
22.39
23.42
25.21
0.1%

What was the final result?22.5

Community Baseline Score
95.9
Community Peer Score
11.6

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 22
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

Comments

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