Question

Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025?

Resolved:No
4
27
Total Forecasters130
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 0.7%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
96.3
Community Peer Score
33.1
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:Nov 18, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 18, 2023
Technology
2021-2025 Leaderboard