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27
133
forecasters
4
27 comments
133 forecasters
Technology
1 more...
Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025?
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No
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Sam Altman run for POTUS by 2040
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Sam Altman's net worth in January 2030
Current estimate
43.8 B$
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Will OpenAI, Meta, or Alphabet CEO pledge AI autonomy limits before 2027?
10%
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Will OpenAI file an S-1 before 2027?
87%
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OpenAI solves alignment before June 30 2027?
1%
chance
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Number of New Leading AI Labs
0 or 1
49.8%
2 or 3
32.9%
4 or 5
11.9%
6 or 7
3.2%
2 others
2 comments
4 forecasters
OpenAI or Anthropic — higher valuation on Jan 1, 2027?
OpenAI
Hidden
Anthropic
Hidden
5 comments
29 forecasters
OpenAI Triggers 'Assist Clause'
2031
8%
2026
result:
No