8 forecasters

Will Israel and Hamas conduct a prisoner exchange involving ≥20 Israelis and ≥20 Palestinians in 2023?

99%chance

99%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 21, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolved:

Nov 25, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 24, 2023

2023 Leaderboard

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