18 comments
73 forecasters
Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 22, 2023
Closes:Dec 14, 2023
Resolved:Dec 15, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 23, 2023