Question
Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023?
Resolved :No1%Total Forecasters73
Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)
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Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
97.6
Community Peer Score
3.8
median 1.0%mean 1.4%
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