9 comments
62 forecasters
Will OpenAI Inc. change its mission statement before the following years?
2024result: No
2025result: No
20265%
Authors:
Opened:Dec 8, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2026
Before 2026, will OpenAI's commercial operations cease to be governed by its nonprofit board of directors?
3.9% chance
107
Will the CEO of OpenAI, Meta, or Alphabet (Google) publicly commit to specific limitations on their company’s AI system autonomy before January 1, 2027?
19% chance
52
Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?
62 forecasters