9 comments
27 forecasters
Will OpenAI Inc. change its mission statement before the following years?
2024result: No
2025result: No
202615%
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 8, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2026
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Before 2026, will OpenAI's commercial operations cease to be governed by its nonprofit board of directors?
3.9% chance
91
Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years?
126 forecasters
Will the CEO of OpenAI, Meta, or Alphabet (Google) publicly commit to specific limitations on their company’s AI system autonomy before January 1, 2027?
18% chance
35