29 forecasters

What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election?

Labour Partyresult: 33.7

Conservative and Unionist Partyresult: 23.7

Reform UKresult: 14.3

Labour Party

Conservative and Unionist Party

Reform UK

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 29, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolved:

Jul 6, 2024

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Reform UK is on the rise. Leader Nigel Farage hopes the Trump playbook can propel him to power

Associated Press•Sep 6, 2025

Nigel Farage says ‘there’s every chance of general election in 2027’

Guardian•Sep 5, 2025

Farage: Labour 'Not Fit to Govern', Predicts Reform Will Take Power by 2027

Breitbart•Sep 5, 2025

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