29 forecasters

What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election?

Labour Partyresult: 33.7

Conservative and Unionist Partyresult: 23.7

Reform UKresult: 14.3

Labour Party

Conservative and Unionist Party

Reform UK

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 29, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolved:

Jul 6, 2024

🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard

The Conservative Party is dead – which under normal circumstances would be hilarious

Canary•Oct 12, 2025

Greens now just two points behind Labour as the Zack surge continues

Canary•Oct 11, 2025

Plaid Cymru leader predicts two-horse race with Reform in Welsh elections

Guardian•Oct 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What share of the popular vote will each party receive in the next South African general election (2029)?

African National Congress (ANC)

Democratic Alliance (DA)

Mkonto weSizwe (MK)

When will the next UK general election take place?

(16 Oct 2028 - 19 Jul 2029)

(16 Oct 2028 - 19 Jul 2029)

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?