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38 forecasters
Will a Chinese firm market an EUV photolithography machine before 2033?
80%chance
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Opened:Dec 6, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2033
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2033
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 20, 2023
Will a Chinese fab have a volume production process that uses EUV photolithography before 2033?
90% chance
35
Will a Chinese-made ArFi lithography machine be used in volume production anywhere before 2028?
80% chance
25
When will China manufacture extreme ultraviolet lithography equipment domestically?
19 Jun 2027
(20 Mar 2026 - 02 Aug 2030)
19 Jun 2027
(20 Mar 2026 - 02 Aug 2030)
28 forecasters