Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
10
49
forecasters
11
10 comments
49 forecasters
Chinese AI Chips
3 more...
Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?
Predict
Follow
share
embed
≤5 nm
85%
≤3 nm
75%
≤2 nm
44%
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (10)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
0 comments
44 forecasters
Chinese fab with >150 MTr/mm² process by 2027
21%
chance
2 comments
51 forecasters
Chinese volume production using EUV by 2033?
87%
chance
1 comment
24 forecasters
Chinese SME firm industry leader in 2033?
SMEE
30%
Naura
25%
AMEC
20%
Nata
15%
7 comments
68 forecasters
Chinese foundry with ≥20% of semi market?
53%
chance
2 comments
51 forecasters
Western AI chip maker fabs in China by 2033?
Nvidia
8%
AMD
5%
Google
4%
2 comments
53 forecasters
Major CSP to buy PRC-fabbed AI chip by 2028?
OVH
10.5%
Amazon Web Services
6.6%
Microsoft Azure
5.8%
Google Cloud
2%
1 comment
37 forecasters
Chinese ArFi machine used at scale by 2026?
50%
chance
1 comment
55 forecasters
Chinese EUV machine marketed by 2033?
90%
chance