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36 forecasters
Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?
AMD5%
Nvidia5%
Google5%
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 6, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2030
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
32 forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
40 forecasters
Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?
70% chance
57