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6 comments
16 forecasters

How much of Nvidia's quarterly 2024 revenue (FY 2025) will come from the Chinese market?

Authors:
DerMannOhneEigenschaften
Opened:Dec 6, 2023
Closes:Feb 1, 2025
Resolved:Mar 4, 2025
Chinese AI Chips
AI in China
Technology
Computing and Math
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Al Jazeera logo
China accuses Nvidia of violating anti-monopoly laws
Al Jazeera•Sep 16, 2025
TechCrunch logo
China says Nvidia violated antitrust regulations
TechCrunch•Sep 15, 2025
FOX News logo
China says Nvidia violated antitrust law
FOX News•Sep 15, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH
16%
Microsoft Azure
14%
Google Cloud
12%
1 other
29 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

OVH
27%
Microsoft Azure
5%
Amazon Web Services
5%
1 other
38 forecasters

Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?

AMD
5%
Nvidia
5%
Google
5%
35 forecasters
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